Fantasy Football Analytics Glossary

How many fantasy points a player scores above the replacement level at their position, adjusted for league size and roster construction.

How much a player contributed to their manager's championship probability each week, measured by distributing actual odds changes proportionally.

A Bayesian estimate of a team's true scoring strength using recency-weighted history, shrinkage toward the league average, and variance modeling.

Pre-game estimated chance of winning a matchup, derived from the Power Rating difference between two teams.

The best possible starting lineup a manager could have set each week given their rostered players, used to measure start/sit decision quality.

The percentage of maximum possible points a manager actually scored: actual points divided by optimal lineup points.

Ranks waiver wire and free agent moves by rest-of-season LAMAR gained, tracked across all seasons in your league's history.

Evaluates every trade by the net LAMAR each side gained or lost, with both sides scored independently across all seasons.

Retroactive letter grades for every draft pick based on actual season LAMAR relative to expectations for that draft position.

The difference between actual wins and expected wins from 100,000 Monte Carlo schedule simulations, measuring how much schedule randomness helped or hurt.

Whether a manager faced easier or harder opponents than average, measured by a separate 100,000-iteration simulation of opponent difficulty.

How many teams a manager would have beaten each week based purely on points scored, removing schedule dependency entirely.

Probability of making the playoffs, updated weekly using 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with Bayesian team strength modeling.

Probability of winning the league championship, extending playoff odds through a full bracket simulation with seeding and bye weeks.